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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
World
Pjotr Sauer

Middle East conflict offers economic lifeline to Russia’s flagging war machine

Donkeys stand in the foreground while in the distance smoke rises from behind a hill
Smoke rises in the Fujairah oil industry zone in the United Arab Emirates after a strike. Photograph: Amr Alfiky/Reuters

A prolonged energy crisis triggered by the widening war in the Middle East could offer an economic lifeline to Russia’s war machine at a moment when it was beginning to show signs of strain.

The sharp weakening and possible collapse of the regime in Iran would deprive the Kremlin of one of its closest regional partners. But that setback could be outweighed by an economic windfall if disruption pushes buyers toward Russian energy, alongside a possible slowdown in western arms supplies to Ukraine.

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