Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has emerged as one of the more prominent global political figures of 2026 after taking a firm stance against US President Donald Trump, and that profile has now fuelled speculation that he could end the year with two of the world's most high-profile honours.
Carney briefly became the favourite on Monday on Kalshi, a US-based prediction market, for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with traders putting his chances at 14%. His odds later fell, underscoring the highly speculative nature of prediction-market wagers.
