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Firmesk Rahim, PhD Student in Global Governance and Human Security, UMass Boston

Iraqi Kurds sees opportunities – and risks – in the withdrawal of US troops

Graffiti depicts the Kurdish flag and the name of the Kurdish Peshmerga forces in Irbil, the capital of Iraq's northern semi-autonomous Kurdish region, on Oct. 4, 2026. Safin Hamid/AFP via Getty Images

When the last U.S. forces left Erbil Air Base in Iraqi Kurdistan on Sept. 30, 2026, it marked more than the removal of soldiers and military equipment. It also changed the security calculus in the region.

For years, the American troop presence had two effects at once. It provided the region – home to 6.5 million people, mainly ethnically Kurdish – with broader military support and protection against drones and missiles launched by Iran and its allied groups in Iraq. The American presence also helped make the region part of a wider confrontation between the United States, Iran and those same Iranian-allied groups.

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