An incumbent leader refuses to commit to a peaceful transfer of power. While his political allies rail about an attempted coup, he calls for his opponents to be arrested. Expectations of political violence grow as the leader calls for his supporters, who include armed vigilantes, to man polling stations. As investors brace for political and social instability, the country’s financial markets gyrate with each election poll and cryptic update on the leader’s medical state.
Welcome to the United States’ first modern-era election as an emerging market.
