Data: Bureau of Economic Analysis via FRED; Chart: Axios Visuals
Here’s a hint about why inflation remained stubbornly high in January: Americans’ spending accelerated, after a few months of trending down.
Driving the news: Personal consumption expenditures data, out Friday, shows that even after adjusting for inflation, spending rose 1.1% in January from the month before.
- That’s the biggest monthly percentage increase since March 2021 — during peak reopening fervor.
Why it matters: The Fed’s been hard at work trying to quell demand in its battle against inflation. But these figures imply that consumers, on the whole, aren’t exactly getting the message.
- The impact: The growing prospect that the Fed may have to raise rates more aggressively than investors had hoped just a few months ago propelled Treasury yields higher on Friday, while the S&P 500 shed over 1%.
Go deeper: Painless disinflation is looking less likely