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Fortune
Fortune
Jim Edwards

If Trump fires the Fed’s Powell ‘both the currency and the bond market can collapse,’ according to Deutsche Bank

Donald Trump (Credit: Photographer: Bonnie Cash/UPI/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
  • If President Trump gets his way and removes Jerome Powell as chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, the market reaction would be swift and brutal, Deutsche Bank’s George Saravelos argues. It could collapse the currency and bond markets, he says in a note seen by Fortune. Polymarket puts the chances of a Powell ouster at 19%. “We consider the removal of Chair Powell as one of the largest underpriced event risks,” Saravelos says.

Deutsche Bank published an explosive research note over the weekend titled simply, “What if ?” (And yes, it includes that idiosyncratic use of extra spaces in front of the question mark.) 

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