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The Conversation
Bhaskar Chakravorti, Dean of Global Business, The Fletcher School, Tufts University

How will AI affect workers? Tech waves of the past show how unpredictable the path can be

Personal computers started an information technology revolution. Will AI bring similarly dramatic changes? Bettmann via Getty Images

The explosion of interest in artificial intelligence has drawn attention not only to the astonishing capacity of algorithms to mimic humans but to the reality that these algorithms could displace many humans in their jobs. The economic and societal consequences could be nothing short of dramatic.

The route to this economic transformation is through the workplace. A widely circulated Goldman Sachs study anticipates that about two-thirds of current occupations over the next decade could be affected and a quarter to a half of the work people do now could be taken over by an algorithm. Up to 300 million jobs worldwide could be affected. The consulting firm McKinsey released its own study predicting an AI-powered boost of US$4.4 trillion to the global economy every year.

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