As US voters digest the news that US President Joe Biden will not seek re-election, attention is turning to the chances that his presumptive successor on the Democratic ticket, Vice President Kamala Harris, will beat Republican nominee Donald Trump in November. Although new polls have not been released since Biden’s surprise announcement on Sunday, recent surveys show Harris performs about as well as Biden in a matchup against the former president.
For those looking to pressure Biden to step aside in the 2024 presidential race, his showing in polls was often cited as proof that his candidacy was doomed. But a look at the numbers is inconclusive, with Biden leading Trump in some and trailing him in others, and often within the margin of error. And polls so far show that Harris does not perform statistically better than Biden in a matchup against Trump.
