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Bristol Post

Sport

Sam Frost

How Bristol Rovers' defeat at Carlisle United has affected their League Two promotion chances

Rovers Bristol Rovers League Two Carlisle United Mansfield Town Exeter City Forest Green Rovers Gas Joey Barton FiveThirtyEight

Bristol Rovers' hopes of automatic promotion were dented by Carlisle United on Saturday, but the Gas are still predicted to make the League Two play-offs.

The 1-0 defeat at Brunton Park saw the Gas slip from fourth to sixth in the standings with seven games to play, but Rovers rightly retain confidence generated by a superb run of form since the turn of the year and the statistical model created by FiveThirtyEight predicts Joey Barton's side will finish in the top seven at the end of the season.

Before the weekend's defeat, Rovers were tipped to finish third, edging Mansfield Town out of a play-off place on goal difference, but after the latest round of games the Gas are predicted to end the season sixth and face Darrell Clarke's Port Vale in the post-season.

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