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Jonathan Este, Senior International Affairs Editor, Associate Editor

Gaza update: what the Lebanon pager attacks could mean for the Middle East conflict

This article was first published in our Gaza Update newsletter. Click here to receive our fortnightly updates on the conflict direct to your inbox.

Israel tends not to rush to claim responsibility for assassinations and the like. But the reputation of its intelligence services goes before it. Most experts are saying that the fiendishly imaginative nature of the attacks in Lebanon this week, which involved thousands of exploding pagers and walkie talkies carried by members of Hezbollah, makes it odds-on that this was an Israeli operation.

Another thing many academic experts and commentators agree on is that this could be the trigger than sets what for the past year – since Hamas carried out its brutal October 7 attacks in Israel and Israel launched its devastating retaliation on Gaza – has been a fairly consistent set of low-level exchanges of rocket fire and bombardment between the Israel Defense Forces and Hezbollah in southern Lebanon.

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