The Briefing
- 9.3 million Peruvians are classified at "very high risk" of flooding and landslides by disaster risk agency CENEPRED; civil defense body INDECI separately estimates 1.2 million residents face the most immediate danger, with forced displacement projected to begin before year-end.
- The Fujimori government has pre-positioned shelter capacity for 30,000 displaced people across three northern regions and committed roughly S/2 billion in emergency funds — yet its own health minister acknowledges that fewer than 500 of 1,800 tracked hazard sites have been fully remediated.
- ENFEN and NOAA forecasters converge on the same peak window: December 2026 through March 2027 is when the heaviest rains, huaicos, and river overflows are most likely to peak — roughly six weeks from now.