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Fortune
Fortune
Siddharth Misra

Forget 'peak oil': the era of scarcity is dead, and now we're drowning in abundance

sid (Credit: courtesy of Texas A&M)

​Forget the old fears of Peak Oil. The world has flipped from a scarcity crisis to a crisis of drowning in abundance. We have entered the era of the Super Glut—a structural deluge where we are extracting hydrocarbons faster than the global economy can burn them. According to the IEA’s January 2026 report, global oil supply is projected to surge by 2.5 million barrels per day (bpd), reaching a definitive record of 108.7 million bpd. This is not a temporary surge; it is a permanent shift in market dynamics.

​The Five Forces of the Super Glut

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