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Fortune
Fortune
Alex Ferrara

Europe's defence wake-up call: why innovation can't wait

(Credit: courtesy of Bessemer Venture Partners)

Russia’s war economy has reached a staggering scale that should alarm every European leader. Between 2022 and 2024, Moscow allocated at least $263 billion to defence outlays — approximately 7% of GDP annually — transforming a massive portion of its economy into a military-industrial complex on a scale that is unprecedented since the Cold War. Meanwhile, China just tightened its grip on rare earth exports, giving Beijing the power to potentially veto European defence production. These aren’t hypothetical threats — they’re today’s reality, and Europe’s response has been far too slow.

The numbers tell a sobering story. While European NATO members collectively spent approximately €343 billion on defence in 2023, this was spread across 27 nations with fragmented procurement systems and slow adoption of emerging technologies. Russia, with an economy smaller than Italy’s, has weaponized its entire industrial base with ruthless efficiency. The asymmetry isn’t just in spending — it’s in speed, focus, and willingness to embrace disruptive innovation.

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