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Barchart
Barchart
Rich Asplund

Dollar Little Changed on Cross Currents

ECB Iran Israel Middle East

The dollar index (DXY00) on Monday was little changed.  The dollar was undercut by reduced safe-haven demand after Israel launched a limited retaliatory strike against Iran, reducing the chances for an all-out Middle East conflagration.  However, the dollar saw underlying support from Monday’s +3.4 bp rise in the 10-year T-note yield.

The markets are discounting the chances at 95% for a -25 bp rate cut at the November 6-7 FOMC meeting and at 0% for a -50 bp rate cut at that meeting.

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