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The Conversation
The Conversation
Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

Democrats remain clear favourites to gain control of Congress at midterms

With just over two weeks until the November 3 midterm elections, Democrats have a three in four chance to gain control of the Senate, and remain overwhelming favourites to gain control of the House of Representatives in Nate Silver’s forecast model.

Democrats lead Republicans by 9.6 points on the generic ballot, and Donald Trump’s net approval is -22.3.

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