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The Conversation
Paul Whiteley, Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex

Data suggests Labour would be making a mistake if it ousted Keir Starmer after May elections

The prime minister insisted he was staying in the job during an interview with Laura Kuenssberg at the start of the year. Number 10/Flickr, CC BY-NC-ND

British electoral politics in the 1980s were dominated by Margaret Thatcher, the prime minister for the whole of that decade. Similarly, Tony Blair dominated elections when he was in Downing Street from 1997 to 2007. In sharp contrast, the decade from 2015 to 2025 saw no fewer than six prime ministers come (and mostly go) – five Conservatives and Keir Starmer for Labour.

Traditionally, Labour has been reluctant to sack its leader, but if the May elections turn out to be as bad as the polls suggest, the party might well adopt the Conservative strategy of changing its leader as frequently as premier league football managers.

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