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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Politics
Michael Savage, Seán Clarke and Ashley Kirk

Could Nigel Farage really win the next election? Here’s what the polls say

Nigel Farage
The latest MRP poll from YouGov estimated that Nigel Farage’s Reform UK could win 311 seats if an election were held today. Photograph: James Manning/PA

Nigel Farage has spent his political career disrupting the political order, but with Reform UK’s popularity on the rise, some in Westminster believe he could be on course to pull off the greatest political earthquake in modern British political history.

Not only have recent polls pointed to Reform effectively replacing the Conservatives as the main opposition, some have even suggested Farage could enter Downing Street if such support is maintained at the next election.

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