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The Conversation
The Conversation
Xiujian Peng, Senior Research Fellow, Victoria University

China's population is now inexorably shrinking, bringing forward the day the planet's population turns down

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China’s National Bureau of Statistics has confirmed what researchers such as myself have long suspected – that 2022 was the year China’s population turned down, the first time that has happened since the great famine brought on by Chinese leader Mao Zedong in 1959-1961.

Unlike the famine, whose effects were temporary, and followed by steady population growth, this downturn will be long-lasting, even if it is followed by a temporary rebound in births, bringing forward the day the world’s population peaks and starts to shrink.

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