These contests are far from toss-ups, yet Democrats are eyeing ambitious long-shot House districts where Republicans reliably hold power. The party hopes an unexpected political wave in November could narrow the gaps in these traditional GOP strongholds.
Midterm cycles typically penalize the party in power. While Democrats successfully defied expectations during the projected 2022 "red wave," Republicans claimed majorities in both legislative chambers when President Donald Trump won reelection in the subsequent cycle.