The Tartan Army’s bagpipes may fall silent Wednesday as Kalshi heavily favors Brazil to win and clinch Group C. The market also expects a multi-goal win.
Brazil is the day’s second-strongest favorite on Kalshi’s World Cup lines at 75%. It trails Group C rival, Morocco, which has an 83% chance to defeat Haiti.
Scotland vs Brazil - Kalshi
- Moneyline: Brazil (75%) vs Scotland (10%), Draw (18%)
- Spread: Brazil -1.5 (51%)
- Total: 2.5 (Over 54%)
With Brazil’s 75% trading price, the value on a $10 trade is minimal at $3.09 while the same trade on Scotland offers $84 in profit. A draw pays $42.50 and $8.94 if Brazil covers -1.5 goals.
Momentum riding on Brazil
Brazil is proving why it ranks top-6 in FIFA’s standings. Following its 1-1 draw against Morocco in the opening match, it manhandled Haiti 3-0. Real Madrid’s Vinicius Junior scored in both games. Brazil’s momentum began before the World Cup, winning both tune-up friendlies by an 8-3 margin.
Scotland sits at 1-0-1 after beating Haiti 1-0 and losing to Morocco 0-1. Scotland has not played its best soccer, even in the opening win. Haiti managed two shots on goal and held 54% possession. Another two shots on goal were allowed to Morocco with an even wider possession gap of 59% to 41%.
Looking ahead
This match carries huge stakes for both teams. A Brazil win would not only clinch Group C, but also place them against a favorable third-place team in the knockout round. A draw might even be enough to keep first and definitely second place.
This is essentially do-or-die for Scotland. A loss would make it difficult to move on with other matches holding their fate depending on the margin of loss to Brazil. A win here would boost the point total to six and confidently move them on and potentially even as second place in the group, depending on how Morocco vs Haiti unfolds. A draw would give them four points and likely secure one of the best third-place spots.
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