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Politics
Robert M. Dover, Professor of Intelligence and National Security, University of Hull

Bolsonaro's first-round election bounce back reminds us why populist leaders are so popular

Many populist politicians do better in elections than polling suggests they will. Antonio Scorza/Shutterstock

The sitting Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro secured an unexpected 43% vote in the recent first round of the presidential election, close behind his opponent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (48%).

Many polling companies had predicted Bolsonaro would not do that well in the first round, and there had even been predictions that Lula could get a clear enough lead to gain an all-out victory. But Bolsonaro bounced back, pulling in enough votes to secure a second round on October 30.

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