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The Guardian - AU
The Guardian - AU
National
Peter Hannam

Australia’s budget is banking on wages outpacing inflation and interest rates, but not by too much

A house auction
The federal budget shows some confidence in Australia’s economic resilience but the Coalition is banking on wages rising faster than interest rates and inflation. Photograph: Lisa Maree Williams/Getty Images

Australia’s near-term economic fortunes hinge largely on household incomes rising at a faster pace than inflation but not so fast that they prompt an overly rapid series of interest rate increases by the central bank, according to the 2022-23 federal budget.

The delicate balance is at the heart of a budget – and election campaign – strategy that relies on an assumption additional handouts in the form of fuel excise relief and an expanded tax offset for mostly middle-income taxpayers don’t fan inflation further.

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