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The Guardian - AU
The Guardian - AU
National
Rafqa Touma

Monique Ryan maintains slim lead in Kooyong – as it happened

Monique Ryan
Independent member for Kooyong, Monique Ryan. Photograph: Diego Fedele/AAP

What we learned – Sunday 11 May

That’s all for the blog today. Here’s a wrap, in case you missed it:

Thanks for joining us. Have a lovely Mother’s Day, and see you back on the blog next week.

Updated

Senate results shaping up as a ‘leftwing landslide’

Looking to how the Senate is shaping up, analyst Ben Rau is calling it a “leftwing landslide”.

Whether the left or right can win a four out of six seats in each state – creating a “4-2 split” – is a deciding factor in the Senate, Rau explains in his recent update. He says generally almost all elections are a 3-3 split.

But “right now there is a possibility of a left-right split in five states, with the left leading in four of those states”.

The left could possibly win four seats out of every state, except Queensland where a 4-2 right split has become a 3-3 split, and a 2-0 split in the ACT, Rau explains.

This would lead to a very clear Labor-Greens majority, with some seats to spare.

Updated

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