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The Economic Times
The Economic Times
Debaroti Adhikary

Anthropic IPO explained: $2 trillion valuation, ballooning net loss, AI risks and other details in leaked IPO papers

Anthropic is heading towards its much-awaited initial public offering, with leaked IPO prospectus papers revealing key details such as ballooning net losses, surging revenue, AI models posing existential risks to humanity and more.

With the market debut, Anthropic would likely become the first major generative AI company to debut on Wall Street, beating OpenAI and Musk’s xAI. Notably, this comes after OpenAI CEO cancelled IPO plans for this year, citing growing concerns over AI safety.

Anthropic's revenue surges but so do losses

The maker of Claude reported a net loss of $42 billion in 2025, and plans to spend $518 billion on cloud, computing and infrastructure obligations in coming years, according to the prospectus seen by Reuters. While the sharp losses are raising eyebrows, the company also reported a 12-fold surge in revenue to nearly $4.6 billion in 2025.

The IPO could value Anthropic at more than $2 trillion, reflecting the rapid rise of the AI startup lab that only came into existence five years ago. While the optimism remains high, caution is warranted.

Also read | Anthropic IPO: 5 points to know behind its $2 trillion bet, $42 billion loss and warning of existential AI risks to humanity

Anthropic warns AI poses risk to humanity

Anthropic listed out major risks posed by the AI models it is creating and selling. It said the nascent technology has the potential for creating “existential risks to humanity”. It added that autonomous AI systems could behave in unexpected ways, create security problems, be used for fraud, or manipulate information. AI can have "self-preserving behaviours," including being able to "resist shutdown," "conceal or manipulate information," and carry out behaviours "resembling blackmail”, CNBC cited the Reuters report.

This comes after Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei earlier this month called on AI companies to slow the rate at which they advance model capabilities amid mounting fears of misuse of artificial intelligence. The Anthropic CEO wrote in a post on X that in nearly a year, AI agents "could be capable of taking over the entire internet, potentially causing hundreds of billions of dollars in damage."

Also read | Anthropic raises fresh alarms around AI in its IPO prospectus

Concentration risk: Anthropic’s deep reliance on Amazon, Google

Apart from the AI risks, Anthropic warned that its customer base is extremely narrow, with 47% of its 2025 revenue coming through Amazon and Alphabet’s Google Cloud marketplaces, Reuters quoted the IPO papers as saying. Sales through Amazon and Google’s cloud marketplaces amounted to about $2.16 billion last year, or 47% of Anthropic’s annual revenue.

The two technology giants help distribute Anthropic’s Claude AI models and collect customer payments on its behalf, giving them a significant role in the company’s business. Anthropic said it expects consumption-based revenue to account for "the substantial majority" of its revenue for the foreseeable future.

Anthropic paid nearly $351 million in distribution fees to the platforms, meaning the cloud providers collected about 16 cents for every dollar of those sales, a Reuters analysis of the filing indicated. Anthropic records channel partner fees under its "sales, marketing, and partnerships" operating expense line.

Disclaimer: This article has been written by Debaroti Adhikary, who is not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or an Investment Adviser. Debaroti Adhikary and his/her ‘relative(s)’ (as defined under Section 2(77) of the Companies Act, 2013) do not hold any financial interest in the companies mentioned in this article as of the date of publication. The views/recommendations mentioned in this article, wherever applicable, are those of the respective SEBI-registered Research Analyst/brokerage and have been reproduced/reported with due attribution. They should not be construed as the views or recommendations of The Economic Times Digital or the journalist. Readers are advised to consider the original research report and make their investment decisions based on their own assessment. Brokerage disclaimers here.

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