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The Guardian - UK

Business

Aisha Down

‘Abhorrent’: the inside story of the Polymarket gamblers betting millions on war

Polymarket Nate Silver Donald Trump United States Iran ISW Kalshi Mike Kane Mojtaba Khamenei

A spherical LED screen shows information inside Polymarket’s ‘Situation Room’ pop-up in Washington DC last month. Photograph: Theo Marie-Courtois/AFP/Getty Images

“Horekunden” was rapidly losing patience.

His frustration was with the Institute for the Study of War, a US thinktank which produces a daily map of the frontline in Ukraine.

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