With just about 20 days until the presidential election, voters have turned to polls and prediction markets for some clairvoyance on its outcome. Recent polls show an ultra-close race with Vice President Kamala Harris just barely in the lead, but prediction markets like Polymarket and PredictIt tell a very different story with former President Donald Trump far ahead.
On Friday, Polymarket’s “Presidential Election Winner 2024” market showed bettors giving Trump a whopping 60.1% chance of winning, while Harris’ chances were only 39.8%. That’s a massive difference from the start of October when the candidates were in dead heat.
