Week 3’s matchup between the Steelers and Chargers won’t be the most pleasing watch. The Bolts are currently 1.5-point underdogs as they travel to Pittsburgh to play at Acrisure Stadium.
The Over/Under for Sunday’s game is set at 35.5, so it’s no secret that this is expected to be a defensive battle. With that, the player props on the offensive side of the ball are quite low.
Here are some values that make some sense this weekend in the Steelers-Chargers matchup.
All odds are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.
Ladd McConkey O36.5 receiving yards (-110)
Steelers cornerback Joey Porter Jr. has been stellar in the first two weeks. As a result, McConkey should be a direct beneficiary in Week 3 given that he spends most of his time in the slot. It may be a slower day for the Chargers’ wideouts on the outside, so the rookie should have a big role. In his first two games, he’s caught seven of 11 targets for 65 yards and a touchdown.
J.K. Dobbins O49.5 rushing yards (-120)
Dobbins won’t continue to average 9.9 yards per carry, but this number is awfully low after he racked up over 130 yards in each of the first two games. This matchup is a little bit tougher, as the Steelers are tied-for-fourth in run defense through two weeks. Historically though, Dobbins has thrived against Pittsburgh. In three games against them, he’s racked up 326 rushing yards on 47 carries (6.9 yards per carry) in addition to a touchdown. Dobbins has finished with no less than 93 yards in his meetings against the Steelers, so he knows the blueprint on how to get past this defense.
George Pickens/J.K. Dobbins total combined TDs O0.5 (-125)
This one brings in the Steelers, but it feels like a relatively good value. Pickens feels due for a touchdown, as he has yet to score after having five of them in 2023. Dobbins has scored in each of the first two games and there’s no reason to think he can’t do so again in Week 3. His big play upside has been on full display as he’s finally fully healthy. Although Gus Edwards figures to be the short yardage back, Dobbins should get more and more snaps if he continues to produce.
