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Foreign Policy
Foreign Policy
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Ryan C. Berg, Lauri Tähtinen, Gyude Moore, Bogolo Kenewendo, Edoardo Campanella, Harsh V. Pant, Nandini Sarma, Gyude Moore, Bogolo Kenewendo, Edoardo Campanella, Harsh V. Pant, Nandini Sarma

2021 Could Be the Year of Free Trade

Cargo truck drivers line up to cross into the United States in Tijuana, Mexico, on June 6, 2019. Guillermo Arias/AFP/Getty Images

In the Western Hemisphere, 1994 was the year of trade. The United States, Mexico, and Canada integrated their economies by inking the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), and the United States held the first Summit of the Americas with the objective of striking a hemisphere-spanning trade deal (the so-called Free Trade Area of the Americas). Over a quarter century later, the recent U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) has modernized and replaced NAFTA, but the broader free trade agenda in the Western Hemisphere has stalled. In 2021, the United States will once again host the triennial Summit of the Americas—and it must put free trade squarely back on the agenda.

For Washington, it is not always obvious why the Americas (aside from neighboring Canada and Mexico) deserve its focus in matters of trade. The region has struggled to grow at the rapid pace seen in other developing regions. The GDPs of the other countries of the hemisphere, including Canada and Mexico, barely add up to one-third of the United States’. The grand prize for U.S. trade negotiators has always been a large multilateral trade deal with Asia and, to a lesser extent, with Europe.

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