The Latest Breaking News from Peter Kellner

Andy Burnham is lucky – Polanski, Farage and Badenoch all seem determined to help him

Everywhere the PM turns, he finds generous adversaries. They have made his early days in No 10 so much easier, says Guardian columnist Jonathan Freedland

The Guardian - UK · Oct 9

The byelection here in Holborn and St Pancras is Labour’s to lose. But lose it might

The Greens appeal to young and progressive voters here on defence, rent controls and North Sea oil. The Burnham bounce may be about to hit an obstacle, says the Guardian columnist Polly Toynbee

The Guardian - UK · Sep 8

Reform could slip to third in polls, pollsters warn as Farage’s popularity plummets over scandals

Experts say Farage ‘provided the motor for their rise’ but is ‘currently providing the motor for their decline’

The Independent UK · Aug 15

The majority of doctors supported the recent strike. So why did the Department of Health suggest the opposite?

It would seem that poll data was cherrypicked and then used to brief the Times. Such distortion of facts from a public body should alarm us all, says former president of YouGov Peter Kellner

The Guardian - UK · Nov 25, 2025

Nigel Farage could be denied a Commons majority by tactical voting, says polling expert

But Reform UK set to be the largest party in the Commons after the next election, according to polls

Evening Standard · Oct 29, 2025

Even the Tories now admit that our electoral system is toxic. When will Labour have the guts to fix it?

Giving 16-year-olds the vote is good, not least to stop the rightward lurch, but real change would mean scrapping first past the post, says Guardian columnist Polly Toynbee

The Guardian - UK · Jul 22, 2025

This new EU deal is great for Britain. Now, Labour, focus on the future, not on Farage

We are finally on a path to repair the colossal damage Brexit has done, says Guardian columnist Polly Toynbee

The Guardian - UK · May 19, 2025

Why did the election polls overstate Labour’s lead?

Surveys consistently showed a landslide for Starmer’s party, but predictions were wide of the mark

The Guardian - UK · Jul 13, 2024

May general election? The economic case for going early (and clinging on)

Falling inflation and tax cuts in a February budget would signal a spring poll but weak growth and rising mortgage bills bode caution

The Guardian - UK · Dec 21, 2023

Labour at ‘tipping point’ of beating SNP across Scotland, says Anas Sarwar

Scottish Labour leader tells conference byelection win is proof party can take seats at next general and Holyrood elections

The Guardian - UK · Oct 9, 2023