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The Latest Breaking News from Peter Kellner

Reform could slip to third in polls, pollsters warn as Farage’s popularity plummets over scandals

Experts say Farage ‘provided the motor for their rise’ but is ‘currently providing the motor for their decline’

The Independent UK

Will Andy Burnham’s everyday fixes be enough to get the public on his side?

The prime minister’s money-saving policies are popular but they are yet to convince voters he can take on the big things

The Guardian - UK

Voters contend with ‘dodgy’ data in party leaflets for English local elections

Exclusive: Investigation into campaigning materials for local polls in May challenges tactical voting claims

The Guardian - UK

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Viktor Orbán inspired rightwingers across the EU and in Britain. His defeat could represent a turning of the tide

We must hope this vote will be the start of a wider backlash – and send hard-right populism back to the fringes where it belongs, says Guardian columnist Polly Toynbee

The Guardian - UK

Ariodante at Royal Opera: A glorious and moving first staging in 300 years

4/5 The first staging of Handel’s Ariodante in 300 years is a moving tragedy delivered with exemplary performances

Evening Standard

The majority of doctors supported the recent strike. So why did the Department of Health suggest the opposite?

It would seem that poll data was cherrypicked and then used to brief the Times. Such distortion of facts from a public body should alarm us all, says former president of YouGov Peter Kellner

The Guardian - UK

Nigel Farage could be denied a Commons majority by tactical voting, says polling expert

But Reform UK set to be the largest party in the Commons after the next election, according to polls

Evening Standard

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Even the Tories now admit that our electoral system is toxic. When will Labour have the guts to fix it?

Giving 16-year-olds the vote is good, not least to stop the rightward lurch, but real change would mean scrapping first past the post, says Guardian columnist Polly Toynbee

The Guardian - UK

This new EU deal is great for Britain. Now, Labour, focus on the future, not on Farage

We are finally on a path to repair the colossal damage Brexit has done, says Guardian columnist Polly Toynbee

The Guardian - UK

Why did the election polls overstate Labour’s lead?

Surveys consistently showed a landslide for Starmer’s party, but predictions were wide of the mark

The Guardian - UK

May general election? The economic case for going early (and clinging on)

Falling inflation and tax cuts in a February budget would signal a spring poll but weak growth and rising mortgage bills bode caution

The Guardian - UK

Labour at ‘tipping point’ of beating SNP across Scotland, says Anas Sarwar

Scottish Labour leader tells conference byelection win is proof party can take seats at next general and Holyrood elections

The Guardian - UK

Labour’s Scottish byelection win sets off tremors in Holyrood and Westminster

Victory for Labour in Rutherglen and Hamilton West gives party cautious hope for bigger battles ahead

The Guardian - UK

Millions of ‘missing voters’ cost Labour seats due to electoral boundaries bias

Analysis of official data has revealed the system for drawing constituencies is ‘warping’ British democracy by omitting eligible voters

The Guardian - UK

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The Guardian - UK

The local picture is good for Keir Starmer – the national predictions look even better

Evidence of a tactical pincer movement to defeat the Tories shows how worried they should be about the general election, says former YouGov president Peter Kellner

The Week

Who will win the next general election? The odds and polls

Rishi Sunak is celebrating a sharp fall in inflation to 6.8%, bolstering his pledge to halve the rate by the end of the year.

Reuters

Echoes of dire 1970s in today's Britain

Plans for a high-wage, high-growth economy lie in ruins as Britain's Conservative prime minister struggles to answer a cost-of-living crisis, compounded by rising worker unrest.

The Guardian - UK

Could tactical voting save Britain from the Tories?

Letters: John Lynch and Declan O’Neill respond to an article on how tactical voting, as seen in the recent byelections, could reshape British politics. Plus a letter from David Smith

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The Guardian - UK

A harsh lesson for the Tories: you can’t outrun tactical voting

The dramatic Tiverton and Honiton result shows how strategic anti-Conservative voting could decide the next general election, says Peter Kellner, a former president of YouGov

The Independent UK

‘Industrial-scale’ tactical voting sparks calls for Labour-Lib Dem electoral pact

‘Don’t rest on your laurels’: Keir Starmer and Ed Davey urged to work together after by-election wins

The Guardian - UK

Why do polling firms like YouGov tweak polls? Because they are scared of being wrong

The pressure to avoid mistakes can force pollsters to second-guess themselves, just as YouGov did in 2017, says Peter Kellner, a former president of YouGov

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