The Latest Breaking News from MRCI

The US government's fiscal year significantly impacts financial markets because the federal budget process influences economic policy, government spending, and fiscal stability. As the fiscal year draws to a close on September 30, market participants closely monitor budget negotiations, potential government shutdowns, and funding decisions, which can create uncertainty and…

Recent concerns about the unwinding of yen carry trades and its potential impact on financial markets have proven less disruptive than anticipated. Despite other countries raising interest rates to combat post-pandemic inflation, Japan has kept borrowing costs low to address its long-term economic stagnation. Although the Bank of Japan (BoJ)…

This time last year, new crop corn futures traded above $6.00 due to low supply caused by adverse weather and geopolitical issues, including the invasion of Ukraine. US farmers expected these trends to persist and held onto their crops, anticipating price increases. However, a record production year in the US…

As a new quarter approaches, investors are eager to see if fresh capital will flow into the stock market. With economic indicators showing mixed signals and the Federal Reserve pausing, market participants closely watch for signs of renewed investment. Will the promise of cooling inflation and a potential easing cycle…

Another Federal Reserve Board meeting has left the Fed Funds rate unchanged at 5.25 to 5.50%. Due to the stickiness of inflation being higher than their 2% target, they have reduced the chances of rate cuts to only once this year instead of the original 3-4 times. The 10-year Treasury…

Based on the continuous futures contract, corn prices peaked at nearly $8.25 in May 2022. The rally was in response to the Russian attack on Ukraine, forcing international grain prices to rally. Since that time, the price has declined to $4.50. Corn has a bullish seasonal pattern after the planting…

Are you looking to buy a new home or refinance at a lower rate? The media is talking about rates being higher for longer. And they are correct about short-term rates that don't impact mortgages as much as longer-term yields do. While the Fed plays political games to garner votes…

"Sell in May and come back after Labor Day" is a well-known adage in the stock market that suggests investors should sell their stock holdings in May and return to the market after Labor Day in September. But, like so many market clichés, sayings that aren't supported by historical data…

Despite no signs of deceleration in US growth and geopolitical risk, the US Dollar has rallied 6% off its year-to-date seasonal low. While the European Central Bank (ECB) is considering rate cuts in June, Great Britain is in a recession, and the US continues to have a sticky inflation rate,…