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The Latest Breaking News from Keir Giles

The three reasons Putin will be terrified of Ukraine’s counteroffensive win

Ukraine’s counter-offensive breakthrough will come as a “shock” to Russian President Vladimir Putin

The Independent UK

While world media speculates on Wagner chief's presumed death, Russian state media shies away

News that Russia’s Wagner mercenary chief was believed dead in a plane crash has dominated world reports, along with speculation that it might be linked to his June mutiny

The Independent UK

‘Wagner is victim of its own brand name’: How much of a threat does mercenary group pose in Belarus?

Any attempt to breach Ukraine’s northern border would make no logistical sense, experts tell The Independent

The Independent UK

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‘Wagner is victim of its own brand name’: How much of a threat does mercenary group pose in Belarus?

Any attempt to breach Ukraine’s northern border would make no logistical sense, experts tell The Independent

The Independent UK

Experts warn Ukraine’s frontline push is being damaged by West

Pressure for a ‘Hollywood-style’ breakthough against Russia’s forces is unrealistic, war analysts tell The Independent

The Independent UK

Bluffing or not, Putin’s declared deployment of nuclear weapons to Belarus ramps up saber-rattling

Sometime this summer, if President Vladimir Putin can be believed, Russia moved some of its short-range nuclear weapons into Belarus, closer to Ukraine and onto the doorstep of NATO’s members in Central and Eastern Europe

The Independent UK

What happened in the Russia-Ukraine war this week? Catch up with the must-read news and analysis

A mutiny launched by Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin fizzled out in 24 hours but the aftershocks will continue to be felt for months – and beyond

The Guardian - AU

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Ukraine’s biggest enemy is the western belief that it cannot beat Putin. Now is the time to rethink that

We must think beyond helping Kyiv survive and aim for Zelenskiy to actually win, says Keir Giles of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

‘All bets are off’: An uncertain future after Wagner mutiny

Speculation abounds on social media, but experts warn against drawing conclusions on the fate of the Wagner Group.

Al Jazeera

Prigozhin and Wagner could not challenge Putin’s power directly, but they exposed his weakening grip

The insurrection wasn’t going stop the war: Prigozhin shared Putin’s aims in Ukraine. But a distracted Russia is good for the world

The Guardian - UK

Vladimir Putin is a 'death cult' leader who could still nuke Ukraine unless West acts

To stop this "death cult" act, Vladimir Putin needs to be told what the apocalyptic consequences to Russia would be if he nuked Ukraine, an expert has said

Daily Mirror

Russia is losing – but has anyone told Putin?

Ukraine – a year of war: Even this week, the president showed how detached he remains from reality. The result, writes Keir Giles, is clear: a conflict with no end in sight

The Independent UK

Vladimir Putin in chilling 'global conflict' warning as he appears to issue nuclear threat

An expert on security issues affecting Russia explained that while the threats are subtle, they are still present

Irish Mirror

Essentialising 'Russia' won't end the war against Ukraine. Might 'real and credible' force be the answer?

Russia’s War on Everybody, by UK writer Keir Giles, is an alarming book. It argues that for years Russia has been waging “a clandestine war against the West”.

The Conversation

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Daily Record

Vladimir Putin in warning over World War 3 'global conflict' as he issues nuclear threat

During his State of the Nation speech today, the Russian leader threatened to take fighting cross-border and appeared to justify the use of nuclear weapons.

The Guardian - UK

Britain was meant to be supporting fleeing Ukrainians. Instead, we’re failing them

The government left the job of helping refugees to local authorities and volunteers. Now the system is at risk of collapse, says author Keir Giles

ABC News

Why the battle for Kherson is so significant to a desperate Vladimir Putin

As Ukraine gains ground and pushes Russian forces back, one city looms large as key to its victory. Kherson is the last regional capital under Russian control, losing it would be a blow to Vladimir Putin.

The Guardian - UK

Ukraine won back territory and support, but Russia will test the west’s resolve again

Talk of nuclear escalation or attacks on pipelines may be far-fetched at present, but Moscow has other levers at its disposal, says Keir Giles of Chatham House

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The Guardian - UK

Putin is admitting his previous threats were hollow by saying ‘this is not a bluff’

The Russian leader’s fantastical speech shows he recognises that his country is losing its war on Ukraine, says Keir Giles of the Russia programme at Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

Putin needs a drawn-out war – the west’s timidity gives him one

President Zelenskiy and Ukraine want it finished by winter, but Russia still holds the balance of power, says Keir Giles of Chatham House

Daily Mirror

Vladimir Putin hits back at 'death's door' rumours with 'impressive' 72-MINUTE speech

Keir Giles, senior fellow of the Russia and Eurasia Programme at Chatham House, told The Mirror that Putin 'will have been keen to play down the swirling rumours about his health', in landmark speech

The Independent UK

The battle of Donbas could prove decisive in Ukraine war

Day after day, Russia is pounding the Donbas region of Ukraine with relentless artillery and air raids, making slow but steady progress to seize the industrial heartland of its neighbor

The Independent UK

Smashed buildings in Mariupol produce 'caravan of death'

The human cost of the war in Ukraine mounted as workers pulled up to 100 bodies from each smashed building in the devastated city of Mariupol

The Guardian - UK

It’s too soon to celebrate Putin’s losses – the hard miles are yet to come for Ukraine

Kyiv faces economic devastation, citizens ‘removed’ by Russia and the risk of dwindling support, says Keir Giles of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

Putin’s price for ‘peace’? Claiming victory, regardless of the truth

Even tiny territorial gains will allow Russia to declare success, regroup and wait to reopen hostilities at a time of its choosing, says Keir Giles of Chatham House

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