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The Latest Breaking News from Jeff Asher

Crime analyst Jeff Asher explains the historic decline in murders, why Americans distrust crime statistics, and what the data actually show about public safety.

Reason

Violent crime fell in 2025 for a third straight year in New Orleans, where Guard troops now patrol

New Orleans ended 2025 with its third year of declining violent crime rates even as armed National Guard troops patrolled the city's streets on the orders of President Donald Trump

The Independent UK

Karoline Leavitt Credits 'Trump Effect' for Historic Drop in US Murder Rates

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt and other officials credit President Trump's policies for a historic drop in US murder rates.

International Business Times UK

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'And They Don't Wanna Thank Trump': US Murders Plunge 20% in Largest Annual Decline Ever Recorded

America sees unprecedented 20% murder decline as TikTok erupts in political battle over whether Trump or 2023 trend deserves credit

International Business Times UK

U.S. murders on pace for largest one-year drop on record

The decline in killings is part of a broader drop in violent crime following the COVID-era spike.

Axios

Louisiana governor asks for national guard deployment to New Orleans

Jeff Landry’s request comes as crime trends analyst says New Orleans has had fewest murders since 1970

The Guardian - US

Is Chicago the violent crime capital of the US? What the facts say

Republicans claim it is. Democrats say red states are worse. Both are spinning. The truth lies somewhere in the middle.

Al Jazeera

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Trump's federal law-enforcement crackdown ripples through DC neighborhoods

President Donald Trump's decision to increase federal law enforcement and immigration agents in Washington, D

The Independent UK

The murder capital of the US and a former mayor on crack: DC’s history of crime problems

The president’s depiction of Washington, D.C. as a violent, crime-ridden cesspit is nothing new

The Independent UK

Fact-checking Trump’s claim that crime in Washington is ‘out of control’

Trump claimed DC crime is surging to deploy the National Guard, however, the city’s preliminary data proves otherwise.

Al Jazeera

What's Really Happening to D.C.?

Plus: ICE changes approach, Alan Dershowitz gets that pierogi hookup, and more...

Reason

Violent Crime Rates Fell Again in 2024 and Are Likely To Keep Dropping in 2025

This is great news, but it also undercuts Donald Trump's claim that violent crime was out of control before he returned to office.

Reason

FBI report disproves Trump’s claim of a Biden-era out-of-control crime wave

Annual figures released Tuesday reflect a 4.5% year-on-year decrease in all violent crime nationally in 2024

The Guardian - US

Could 2025 See the Lowest Murder Rate Ever Recorded?

While it's too early to say for sure, the data are extremely encouraging.

Reason

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The Independent UK

US cities largely saw a drop in violent crime in 2024, yet many still feel unsafe

As U.S. police departments release preliminary or finalized 2024 crime numbers, many are reporting historic declines in homicides and drops in other violent crimes compared to 2023

Reason

Preliminary FBI Data: Crime Steeply Declined in Early 2024

While the data is far from perfect, if the overall trend holds, violent crime could be back to pre-COVID levels by the end of the year.

The Guardian - US

Homicides in major US cities falling at ‘one of fastest rates ever’ – report

Nearly all crime, including violent and property offenses, was down ‘a considerable amount’ in 2023 compared with 2022

The Guardian - US

FBI data shows US crime plummeted in 2023 but experts warn report is incomplete

Experts say FBI’s finding crime numbers dropped should be viewed with caution but nonetheless the numbers are encouraging

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WEKU

Violent crime is dropping fast in the U.S. — even if Americans don't believe it

In 2020, the United States experienced one of its most dangerous years in decades. But in 2023, crime in America looked very different. That change may have gone unnoticed.

WEKU

How one city took on rising car thefts — and brought the numbers down

Vehicle thefts have risen across the U.S., largely due to an increase in Kia and Hyundai thefts. But that's not what's happening now in St. Paul, Minn., where car thefts have fallen dramatically.

The Independent UK

US homicide rates drop at record pace in 2023

Despite feelings of crime increasing, data from cities across the US indicate murder rates fell at record pace this year

The Guardian - US

Fact-check: six Republican debate claims from crime to immigration

Republican candidates made misleading, dubious and outright false claims on a variety of issues

The Guardian - US

Republicans claim Democrats can’t keep us safe – crime data disagrees

Studies show that states with higher murder rates are those that vote red even as conservatives stoke fear about crime

The Guardian - US

‘Sharp and broad decline’ in US murder rate, research shows

AH Analytics study of 90 US cities shows 12.2% drop in first five months of 2023 – but murder rates have increased in some places

The Guardian - US

FBI records slight increase in 2021 homicides – but data is incomplete

Agency says murders increased by 4.3% in 2021 after a 30% surge in 2020, but new data tracking system excludes some major cities

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