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The Latest Breaking News from International Monetary Fund

Ukraine war briefing: €90bn EU loan for Ukraine to be released in second quarter

EU economy commissioner says Iran war is feeding Russia’s war machine; Trump condemns massive strikes on Ukraine. What we know on day 1,514

The Guardian - AU

A world going broke: IMF says America's $39 trillion national debt is actually a global problem—and AI may be the only rescue

Global public debt is barreling toward 100% of world GDP, the fund warned Wednesday. Governments everywhere are spending money they don’t have.

Fortune

Rachel Reeves warns other budgets may be cut to lift defence spending

Chancellor says she is ‘working through a range of options’ to boost the armed forces but does not want to put up taxes

The Guardian - UK

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Wall Street seems to have decided the recession risk is over. Can the Australian market do the same?

Experts say US market ‘may have run ahead of itself’ while ASX 200’s more modest recovery is due in part to Australia’s reliance on fuel imports

The Guardian - AU

IMF Warns Rising War Costs Are Forcing Governments Into Tough Budget Trade-offs

Budgets around the world are under renewed strain as defense needs climb faster than revenues in several major economies, IMF data shows.

International Business Times

S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new all-time highs despite Iran war effects

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq closed at record highs on Wednesday despite the Iran war dragging on, the Strait of Hormuz remaining largely blocked and global economic growth forecasts being cut amid rising inflation.

Euronews

Bank of England chief warns of ‘difficult judgements’ around changes to interest rates

Rates sit at 3.75% but a vote is incoming at the end of April

The Independent UK

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Bank will not rush into moving rates despite ‘big energy shock’, says Bailey

The Bank of England boss said the energy shock will push up prices across the world.

Evening Standard

India Is No Longer In The Top 5, But Experts Still See A Top 3 Economy Ahead

That sounds like a setback, but the actual story is more complex than a simple “India fell behind.” The ranking is based on nominal GDP in US dollars, not domestic purchasing power or local-currency growth. So a country can keep growing at home and still fall in the global table…

Times Life

IMF chief Georgieva warns ‘everyone will feel the impact’ of energy price shock, as UK growth beats forecasts – as it happened

There will be flight cancellations ‘soon’ if oil supplies are not restored in coming weeks, says head of IEA

The Guardian - UK

The Middle East crisis has exposed NZ to a global fertiliser shock. Where is its plan?

New Zealand and Australia like to think of themselves as food powerhouses.

The Conversation

Reeves gives more energy bill support to businesses as Iran war pushes up costs

Scheme cutting bills by up to 25% expanded to cover 10,000 firms, but they will not be paid until next year

The Guardian - UK

Major humiliation for Donald Trump as ships ignore his Hormuz blockade bluff and sail right through

Donald Trump’s high-stakes gamble to squeeze Iran by blockading the Strait of Hormuz just got a reality check. Within hours of the U.S. Navy’s supposed ironclad blockade taking effect, multiple ships — including some linked to Iran and even a Chinese tanker — sailed right through the waterway like it…

The Mary Sue

Job market yet to feel impact of Iran war, rate hikes

Australia's relatively low jobless rate has reinforced the Reserve Bank's view the labour market is still tight, adding to the case for more rate hikes.

AAP

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The Guardian - AU

The IMF refuses to name the cause of this global chaos. It starts with ‘Donald’ and ends in ‘Trump’

The International Monetary Fund remains stuck in a situation where the biggest concern about inflation is wages

Evening Standard

Reeves warns impact of Iran war on economy will persist once hostilities end

The Chancellor and international counterparts said the conflict had caused ‘unacceptable loss of life’ and ‘significant’ economic turmoil.

The Guardian - UK

Economic shock from Iran war risks driving up global debt levels, says IMF

Conflict is pushing up price of energy and food, fuelling higher borrowing costs and hitting growth, report says

Barchart

S&P Futures Muted After Rally, U.S. Economic Data and Earnings in Focus

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM26) are trending down -0.04% this morning, taking a breather after a rally fueled by optimism about the prospect of a peace deal in the Middle East.

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Evening Standard

Donald Trump says he's reopening Strait of Hormuz 'permanently' as Britain slams his war as a folly

Iran has blocked attempts by the US president to prize open the key strait in the Gulf

The Independent UK

Reeves digs heels in over defence boost despite fears UK security is ‘in peril’

The armed forces are thought to be facing a financial black hole of around £28bn over the next four years

The Guardian - UK

IMF calls for countries to economise on energy supplies, and hails UK’s budget deficit improvement – as it happened

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news, as IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva gives a press conference in Washington DC

The Independent UK

How the Iran war has ‘abruptly darkened’ global economy

IN FULL

The Guardian - AU

US Senate fails to pass war powers resolution for fourth time – as it happened

White House denies US asked for ceasefire extension and says negotiations are ‘ongoing’; Benjamin Netanyahu says ‘too early to say how matter will end’

The Guardian - AU

Morning Mail: households cut back amid global economy warning, Taylor ‘debasing’ himself on immigration, Milo myths

Dinner tables featuring cheaper meat and less wine as IMF scenario points to slower growth; Howard-era minister criticises Liberal immigration plan

Fortune

Xi Jinping says the world order is ‘crumbling into disarray.’ Larry Fink and the IMF are worried about a global recession

The Iran war, trade chaos, and a shifting geopolitical landscape are converging into what could be the defining economic moment of the decade.

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