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The Latest Breaking News from Inflation

Citing fallout from the Iran war, IMF cuts the outlook for global growth, expects higher inflation

The Iran war has stalled the world’s economic momentum this year, likely pushing growth lower compared to 2025, the International Monetary Fund warned Tuesday

The Independent UK

Trump’s Iran war could trigger global recession, IMF warns

UK growth slashed as worldwide economy could be thrown ‘off course’, with the risk of an energy crisis ‘on an unprecedented scale’

The Independent UK

US wholesale prices surged 4% last month as the Iran war sent energy prices soaring

U.S. wholesale prices surged last month as the Iran war drove up the cost of energy

The Independent UK

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UK ‘headed for stagflation’ as economy flatlines and inflation bites due to Iran war

Stagflation – a combination of rising inflation, higher unemployment and low or zero economic growth – is seen as a ‘worst of both worlds’ scenario

The Independent UK

Stock Index Futures Gain on Hopes for Renewed U.S.-Iran Talks, PPI Data and More Big Bank Earnings on Tap

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM26) are up +0.19%, and June Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQM26) are up +0.39% this morning as risk appetite improved and oil prices fell following reports that the U.S. and Iran were weighing another round of peace talks.

Barchart

Spanish inflation rises to 3.4% in March due to higher fuel prices

The CPI climbed by more than one point compared to last February, pushed up by the increase in energy prices. The government is confident that the anti-crisis plan will ultimately moderate prices.

Euronews

Risk of ‘serious’ economic shock if Iran war drags on, EBRD chief says

Odile Renaud-Basso says the current scenario will dampen growth and push up inflation in the countries where her institution operates, but that the economic repercussions of a drawn-out war will be “much more serious.”

Euronews

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HSBC says Iran war is hitting confidence as businesses warn over economic risks

Oil-driven inflation is big challenge to world economy, lifting inflation and depressing growth, says bank’s chair

The Guardian - UK

Most of Wall Street points to high oil prices as the driver of inflation. A maverick Johns Hopkins economist says they’re chasing the wrong culprit

The oil crisis will end with the war; it’s the inflation predicament that has legs, predicts Steve Hanke of Johns Hopkins.

Fortune

RBA's stagflation nightmare: prices up, confidence down

Consumer and business confidence has taken a dive following the Iran conflict, highlighting the Reserve Bank's dual fears of falling activity and rising prices.

AAP

‘Stagflationary shock’ from Iran war a ‘nightmare’ as confidence crashes among Australian households

Weakened economic activity, soaring fuel prices and rising inflation have created a horror scenario, RBA deputy governor says

The Guardian - AU

The real reason behind increase in retail sales last month as shoppers remain ‘tepid’ amid Iran war

Essential spending returned to growth – up 0.5% – for the first time since July

The Independent UK

Retail sales ‘tepid’ as Middle East conflict raises consumer caution

Total retail sales increased by 3.6% year on year in March, driven up by the early Easter boosting an increase in food sales to 6.8%.

Evening Standard

Why Stores Are Selling Ugly Produce to Combat Grocery Inflation

The produce department is a visual showcase. Supermarkets reject millions of pounds of perfectly safe food every year simply because it looks weird. A curved cucumber or a scarred apple fails the strict cosmetic standards set by corporate buyers. This rejection creates massive agricultural waste and drives up the price…

Grocery Coupon Guide

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International Business Times UK

'Millions Of Boomers Could Be Homeless Or Living In RVs': Robert Kiyosaki Issues Warning

Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki warns of a potential economic crisis for baby boomers due to rising inflation and inadequate retirement savings.

Reason

Federal Reserve: Without Tariffs, Inflation Would Have Dropped to Pre-Pandemic Levels During 2025

New study finds that tariffs were responsible for the "entirety of the excess inflation in the core goods category."

Axios

Americans hate the 2026 economy

Americans are still experiencing sticker shock at the price of groceries and other goods due to inflation that happened years ago.

The Conversation

Food prices are already high in Canada. Will the Iran war make them worse?

Food prices in Canada have been rising at a faster rate than overall inflation for the past several years. In fact, food prices are 30 per cent higher than they were a decade ago.

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International Business Times

Trump's Hormuz Blockade Sparks Global Inflation Fears As Oil Markets React To Supply Shock

The surge in oil prices is expected to filter quickly into broader inflation given energy's central role in areas like transportation, manufacturing and food production.

The Conversation

The conflict in the Middle East has provided a true test of the resilience of the global economy

The world economy survived the shocks of the Ukraine-Russia conflict, which has had limited impact on economic growth. But the escalation of hostilities in the Middle East has transformed what had been, until early 2026, a surprisingly benign outlook into a far more uncertain one. It has created the ultimate…

Fortune

Investors are writing off any move from the Fed this month. Collapsing talks in Iran have sealed the deal

“It is too soon to identify potential second-round effects in inflation or labor markets,” cautioned UBS’s Paul Donovan.

Barchart

Stocks Set to Open Lower as Oil Prices Top $100 After U.S.-Iran Talks Collapse, Big Bank Earnings Awaited

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM26) are down -0.62%, and June Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQM26) are down -0.64% this morning, pointing to a lower open on Wall Street as oil prices jumped back above $100 a barrel after President Trump ordered a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following…

Kiplinger

6 Scary Retirement Risks (and How to Vanquish Them)

From the cost of long-term care to outliving your savings, aging is full of risks that are almost too scary to contemplate. Here's how to face them fearlessly.

Fortune

Iran’s crumbling economy is the regime’s greatest weakness with prices up 40% since the war began while authorities worry about making payroll

An Iranian official told Reuters the country “will face a disaster” if sanctions aren’t lifted.

AAP

Spoils of Iran war to deliver Chalmers a budget boost

The federal budget will be billions of dollars better off, even with added spending, because of higher commodity prices and inflation, a top economist says.

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