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The Latest Breaking News from Inflation

Jobs market shows no sign of slowing as number in work exceeds pre-pandemic level, wages surge by 7.2%

Pay rose faster than expected, though was still not keeping pace with inflation

Evening Standard

Don't blame workers for falling productivity – we're not the ones holding it back

Suddenly Australians are being told we need to produce more if we want our wages to merely keep up with inflation.

The Conversation

Morgan Stanley’s investment chief called 2022’s bear market, and he says stocks are still hibernating—he sees a 14% drop ahead

“With the S&P 500 rally now crossing the 20% threshold, more are declaring the bear market officially over. We respectfully disagree,” Mike Wilson wrote Monday, arguing corporate earnings are set to fall.

Fortune

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Mortgage turmoil deepens as Santander pulls loans and interest rates could rise again

Soaring cost of home loans is ‘very important’ issue says HSBC UK boss

The Independent UK

Guardian Essential poll: voters trust Labor over Coalition to manage cost of living and inflation

Poll also shows support for government initiatives to regulate artificial intelligence

The Guardian - AU

Kenya's first budget under Ruto - three experts review its key points

President William Ruto’s first budget comes to the national assembly on 15 June against the backdrop of massive public debt and public disquiet over high inflation. The KSh3.663 trillion (US$26.35 billion) plan sets out priority areas of an administration that campaigned on the platform of empowering the informal sector. Many…

The Conversation

Improvement in East Midlands manufacturing could be slowing, warns NatWest

'Inflation remained a key concern for firms and their expectations regarding future output levels'

Birmingham Post

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Tax cuts without lower inflation is ‘betrayal’ of Thatcher, says minister

Gillian Keegan said the Government would need to ensure ‘sound money’ and financial stability before planning to cut taxes.

The Independent UK

Gillian Keegan attacks 'fairytale' economics of Tory right as civil war deepens

'Selectively choosing bits of the legacy and dressing it up as Thatcherism is a betrayal of her great legacy,' Gillian Keegan told the Centre for Policy Studies' annual Margaret Thatcher Conference in a dig at Liz Truss

Daily Mirror

Bank of England rates-setter says further hikes may be needed

Jonathan Haskel suggests surging borrowing costs for households is a price worth paying to tackle inflation

The Guardian - UK

Italians call for pasta strike as food prices soar above inflation

A consumer group is urging a week-long national pasta strike starting on June 22 amid soaring food prices

Evening Standard

Larry Summers warns U.S. economy is still ‘very, very hot' with 'pockets of distress' in commercial real estate

The U.S. is "an underlying 4.5-5% inflation country,” said Summers, a few days ahead of Tuesday's inflation report.

Fortune

Stocks Set to Open Higher as Investors Await Fed Meeting, Inflation Data

June S&P 500 futures (ESM23) are up +0.23%, and June Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQM23) are up +0.46% this morning as market participants looked ahead to the latest U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision this week.

Barchart

‘Decade of emerging markets’ may be about to regain traction

Emerging-market bulls are still upbeat on the asset class, even after China’s highly-touted reopening rally fizzled and proved Wall Street’s early 2023 optimism to be misplaced.

Bangkok Post

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The Guardian - UK

Mortgage mayhem: NatWest increases rates as Santander temporarily pulls some deals – as it happened

Bank of England policymaker Jonathan Haskel says interest rates may need to rise higher, as mortgage providers raise rates or withdraw deals

The Independent UK

Food prices are squeezing Europe. Now Italians are calling for a pasta protest

High food prices are pinching households across Europe, where food inflation is outpacing other major economies like the U.S., Japan and Canada

The Guardian - UK

‘This is just ruinous’: the Britons unable to afford their homes

Millions are finding themselves priced out of renting and buying amid high inflation and mortgage rates

The Independent UK

Stock market today: Asian shares mixed as investors await Fed policy decision, price data

Shares are mixed in Asia after the S&P 500 logged its fourth winning week in a row on Friday

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Birmingham Post

Buoyant demand fosters further growth of new business and output - report

West Midlands companies benefited from positive demand trends in May and responded to this by creating more jobs and lifting business activity

Birmingham Post

Ulster Bank PMI: Northern Ireland business activity continues and confidence grows

There are also signs of easing inflationary pressures

Birmingham Post

New business falls in North East but inflationary pressures ease

The latest North East business survey from NatWest highlights a third month of expansion in May, however

The Guardian - UK

Economic growth to pick up but risks to recovery ‘elevated’, say UK forecasts

Households and firms can expect more financial pain despite Britain dodging technical recession, says KPMG

Insider UK

Private sector expansion slows as manufacturing output falls

Price pressures cool, but remain historically elevated, while employment levels rise further

Bangkok Post

The eternal joust over rate hikes

Some industry leaders are concerned about higher interest rates affecting businesses, especially small ones, in addition to weakening the purchasing power of homebuyers.

Barchart

FOMC, CPI and Other Key Themes to Watch This Week

This week is packed with news and events. The FOMC is the big one of the week, but we also have CPI, PPI, Bond Auctions, Oil Reserves (which may be important with the OPEC cut), and plenty of other big news.

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