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The Latest Breaking News from GDP

Is Trump's Trade War Causing a Recession?

The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow forecast plunged into recessionary territory, stocks wiped out $4 trillion in value, and consumers are pulling back. How long will Washington ignore the warning signs?

Reason

OECD trims eurozone growth outlook as global trade tensions bite

The OECD has lowered its eurozone GDP growth forecast to 1.0% for 2025, down from 1.3% in December, citing weak investment and rising geopolitical risks. Global growth is also revised down to 3.1% as trade disruptions weigh on sentiment.

Euronews

Trump says the economy ‘went to hell’ under Biden. The opposite is true

By standard measures such as job and GDP growth and the stock market, the US economy was in excellent shape

The Guardian - US

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Here’s when AI will launch a decade-long cycle of economic growth and productivity gains

The bank predicts that productivity and GDP gains will start two years from now in 2027 and continue through most of the 2030s.

Fortune

Will the UK enter a recession after Britain’s GDP shrinks unexpectedly?

GDP unexpectedly fell in the first month of 2025

The Independent UK

Shrinking economy offers unhelpful backdrop for Rachel Reeves’s growth push

GDP goes in wrong direction as chancellor puts final touches to fiscal plans

The Guardian - UK

Sky News Interrupts for Breaking Update in Major Blow to Rachel Reeves and Keir Starmer

The Fashion Central

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Chancellor ‘determined to turn around’ economy amid surprise fall in GDP

Figures revealed a surprise contraction in the economy in January, in a blow to Rachel Reeves ahead of her spring statement.

Evening Standard

City fears recession after shock 0.1% fall in GDP in January

Manufacturing and North Sea oil and gas production see big falls in output

Evening Standard

FTSE 100 Live 14 March: Gold price milestone, GDP setback as Berkeley urges rate cut clarity

Recession fears stalked the City today after official figures showed the UK economy went back into reverse in January.

Evening Standard

Goldman Sachs’ chief economist just downgraded the entire U.S. economy as Trump’s latest tariff salvo rattles markets

The storied investment bank has forecast GDP growth to come in below Wall Street’s consensus for the first time in 2½ years.

Fortune

China has only one real way to hit its 2025 growth target

The stimulus packages Beijing rolled out won’t do the trick—and they aren’t really stimulative.

Fortune

Mexico's Biggest Bank Predicts Zero Growth, Recession—Trump's Tariff Threats Labeled as Major Risk

Banamex predicts that the Mexican economy will not grow this year if 25% tariffs on all Mexican products are imposed.

Latin Times

Trump considering changing NATO policy to favor countries spending more on defense: report

Possible change in U.S. engagement with NATO comes as Trump is pressuring Ukraine to come to negotiating table to end war with Russia

The Independent UK

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Evening Standard

Fact check: Minister’s growth claim, NHS appointments and the size of the Army

Round-up of fact checks from the last week compiled by Full Fact.

The Guardian - AU

The Reserve Bank should be looking at these numbers and wondering why it waited until February to act

Yes, the worst may be behind us, but GDP figures provide little sense of an economy powering ahead at full steam

The Guardian - UK

European markets soar as Germany moves to lift ‘debt brake’ and raise defence spending

Berlin’s ‘big bazooka’ proposal sends industrial stocks surging but fiscal sea change also hikes borrowing costs

Fortune

'Germany is back': Country agrees bumper $1.3 trillion spending package to revive economy

Germany's coalition agreed a landmark deal to exempt defense spending from its harsh debt brakes, in addition to unveiling a $535 billion infrastructure pledge.

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Al Jazeera

As Trump roils stock markets, investors are betting big on Europe’s defence

European defence stocks are flying high as Trump’s pause on aid to Ukraine spurs calls for continent’s rearmament.

The Conversation

Australia’s economy has turned the corner, and consumer spending was a big help

Australia’s economy expanded at the fastest pace in two years in the December quarter, boosted by an improvement in household spending and stronger exports.

The Guardian - UK

China sets GDP target of 5% for 2025 amid tariff war with Trump

Economists believe that meeting the target will be challenging as Beijing grapples with Donald Trump’s new trade war

AAP

Green shoots for economy as Australia snaps dire record

Australia has accelerated out of an economic slump after expanding by 1.3 per cent in 2024, leading to a rise in per capita growth - a proxy for prosperity.

Top News

Government Spending And GDP Separation Proposal Sparks Economic Debate

Commerce Secretary proposes separating government spending from GDP reports for enhanced economic measurement and stability.

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