Experts split on who has '24 "advantage" One month out from Election Day, the race for the White House and control of Congress is as close as it gets Salon · Oct 5, 2024
What is the Electoral College? What to know, in 500 words In the US, presidential elections are decided by a state-based vote allocation system. Here’s what you need to know. Al Jazeera · Oct 5, 2024
Why CNN is changing up its polling for 2024 Polls of the 2020 presidential election were at their collective worst in 40 years. The Conversation · Oct 2, 2024
"One Person, One Vote" is a must-watch Maximina Juson's documentary describes how the Electoral College works and how it brought us to January 6 Salon · Sep 30, 2024
Kamala Harris the slight favourite to win US election as she narrowly leads in key states The US presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 49.3–46.0 – a slight widening of the competition since last Monday, when Harris led Trump by 49.2–46.2. The Conversation · Sep 30, 2024
Why can the US election vote count take so long? What to know in 500 words US states determine ballot counting procedures in federal elections, with varying count times fuelling misinformation. Al Jazeera · Sep 27, 2024
More Vance Than Anyone Could Ever Need Plus: Long live Eric Adams, Electoral College bias, and more... Reason · Sep 27, 2024
Trump turns Christian nationalism toxic "Two-thirds of the country rejects this anti-democratic ideology," explains Robert P. Jones of PRRI Salon · Sep 25, 2024
Harris’ post-debate gains sustained in US polls, but Republicans likely to gain Senate control The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 49.2–46.2. In my previous US politics article last Wednesday, Harris led Trump by 48.9–46.0. The Conversation · Sep 23, 2024
Why Pennsylvania is the key to a Harris or Trump Electoral College victory With less than two months until Election Day, Pennsylvania has emerged as the keystone state in each party’s plan to win the White House. The Conversation · Sep 18, 2024
Harris gains in post-debate US national polls, but will her gains be sustained? The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 48.9–46.0. In my previous US politics article on September 9, Harris led Trump by 48.7–46.2. The Conversation · Sep 17, 2024
Harris’ lead dips in national US polls and it’s very close in the key states The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 48.7–46.2. In my previous US politics article on August 30, Harris led Trump by 48.8–45.0. The Conversation · Sep 9, 2024
Two Insistent Predictions In The 2024 Presidential Race, Two Different Winners Nate Silver says Donald Trump appears to be pulling ahead, while Allan Lichtman predicts victory for Kamala Harris International Business Times · Sep 7, 2024
Harris’ win probability falls slightly after Democratic convention and Kennedy withdrawal The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 48.8–45.0. In my previous US politics article last Sunday, Harris led Trump by 48.8–44.8. The Conversation · Aug 30, 2024
The Conversation · Aug 29, 2024 How the 14th Amendment prevents state legislatures from subverting popular presidential elections Donald Trump’s efforts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election not only failed, but some of them also rested on a misreading of the U.S. Constitution, as our new analysis argues. The relevant constitutional provision dates back to just after the Civil War, and contemporaries recognized it as…
The Conversation · Aug 27, 2024 An unseen problem with the Electoral College – it tells bad guys where to target their efforts Over the past four years, Congress and state governments have worked hard to prevent the aftermath of the 2024 election from descending into the chaos and threats to democracy that occurred around the 2020 U.S. presidential election.
The Texas Tribune · Aug 21, 2024 Here’s how to vote in the Texas 2024 election Election day is Nov. 5. Here is everything you need to know about casting a ballot in Texas.
The Conversation · Aug 19, 2024 Kamala Harris’ polls surge stalls ahead of Democratic National Convention The US presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 47.1–44.6% with 4.2% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. In my previous US politics article last Wednesday, Harris led Trump by 46.8–43.7%.
Salon · Aug 16, 2024 The right's 50-year plot against America Author David Daley on the far right's long-term "Antidemocratic" strategy, and how we just might beat it
The Conversation · Aug 14, 2024 Harris’ lead over Trump continues to increase in US national and swing state polls The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 46.8–43.7 with 3.9% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. In my previous US politics article on August 5, Harris led Trump by 45.5–44.1.
The Conversation · Aug 5, 2024 Kamala Harris edges ahead of Donald Trump in national polls for US election The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. Election analyst Nate Silver’s national poll aggregate has Democratic nominee and current vice president Kamala Harris leading Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump by 45.5–44.1%, with 5.0% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Salon · Jul 13, 2024 Examination: Are the polls even reliable After Biden's dismal debate against Trump, pundits turn to polls to learn America's future; what do they say?
Capital & Main · Jul 3, 2024 How Britain’s July 4 Elections Differ From the U.S. A parliamentary system, more disciplined parties and no electoral college have some advantages for democracy, says Cambridge-based U.S. historian Gary Gerstle.
Top News · Jun 27, 2024 Nate Silver Predicts Trump Favored To Win White House Nate Silver's forecast predicts Trump's advantage in the presidential race, with insights on Biden's chances and the Electoral College/popular vote dynamics.
The Conversation · May 28, 2024 Americans break election ties in crazy ways − and jeopardize democracy in the process Commentators and observers are concerned about the possibility of a tie in the November 2024 presidential election. One possibility is that both major-party candidates end up with 269 electoral votes – one short of the 270 required to claim victory. Another scenario is that Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who appears…