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The Latest Breaking News from CBOT

The wheat complex is trading with losses on Tuesday. Chicago SRW wheat is down 4 to 5 cents at midday. KC HRW futures are fractionally in the red at midday so far on Tuesday. MPLS spring wheat is trading with 2 to 3 cent losses across most contracts. The Monday...

Barchart

Wheat Showing Thursday Strength

The wheat complex is showing gains across the three markets on Thursday. Chicago SRW wheat us up 6 to 8 cents so far at midday. KC HRW contracts a showing gains of 7 ¾ cents in the September contract. July KC wheat had another 16 delivery notices overnight. MPLS spring...

Barchart

Q2 in Grains and the Outlook for Q3

The composite of the grain and oilseed sector of the commodities asset class edged lower in Q2 and over the first six months of 2025. Prices remain near lows, and the sector is now in the heart of the 2025 growing season for the crop year.

Barchart

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The Greatest Traders All Follow This One Simple Rule

I'm usually a long-term investor. It fits my nature, inclination, and personality. The short-term trades I engage in from time to time are typically arbitrage-related. That does not mean that I don't know anything about trading.

Benzinga

Can Grain and Oilseed Prices Move Even Higher?

While corn, soybean, and wheat prices are higher than their most recent lows, they remain significantly lower than the 2022 high. As the agricultural commodities that feed and increasingly fuel the world are at the beginning of the 2025 crop year, the weather and other issues will determine the path…

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Behind the Volatility: Deciphering the Corn Market’s Big Four in a Tariff-Torn Year

The corn market in 2025 is off to a rocky start, grappling with tariffs that could reshape its future. This article examines the four fundamental principles—supply, demand, price volatility, and trader sentiment—that every trader and commercial user can utilize to inform their trading decisions. Demand is crumbling as export giants…

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Grains and Oilseeds in Q1 2025- Where are they Heading in Q2?

The gain and oilseed sector of the commodities market was virtually unchanged in Q1, posting a marginal gain. As the agricultural products that feed and fuel the world head into Q2, the 2025 crop year begins with the planting season.

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Where are Wheat Prices Heading in the 2025 Crop Year?

Wheat prices are heading into the 2025 crop year at much lower levels than in 2022 and 2023. Wheat prices reached lows in August 2024, and while they are consolidating near the low, the recent trend has been higher.

Barchart

Grains and Oilseeds in Q4 and 2024- Where are they Heading in 2025?

The grain sector of the commodities market continued to move lower in Q4 2024 and was the worst-performing sector in 2024. While all grain and oilseed markets posted losses in 2024, corn was the only futures market moving to the upside in Q4.

Barchart

Do Grains and Oilseed Futures Offer Value for 2025?

After reaching multi-year highs, and in CBOT wheat’s case, an all-time peak in 2022, grain and oilseed futures prices have plunged. Farmers in the Northern Hemisphere are on vacation after the 2024 harvest, hoping that 2025 will be a better year and prices can rebound.

Barchart

Do We Have to Wait Until Next Year for a Recovery in Wheat?

After reaching a record high in 2022, nearby CBOT wheat futures prices plunged and remain well below $6 per bushel in November 2024. The bearish price action during the 2024 crop year means we may have to wait until 2025 for any price recovery.

Barchart

Grains Recover in Q3- What are the Prospects for Q4 and Beyond?

The grain sector of the commodities market recovered in Q3 but remains the worst-performing sector of the commodities market over the first nine months of 2024. Grain prices have moved substantially lower from the 2022 high, and the recent price action could be a sign of significant bottoms.

Barchart

Will Grains and Oilseeds Find Bottoms?

The leading grain and oilseed futures markets have declined since the 2022 highs. After posting losses over the first half of 2024, the bearish price action continues in Q3 as corn, soybean, and soft red winter wheat futures search for bottoms.

Barchart

Where are Grain and Oilseed Prices Heading in Q3 and Beyond?

Grain and oilseed prices have been under selling pressure since making all-time or multi-year highs in 2022. The selling continued in Q1 and Q2 2024. As we move into the second half of 2024, prices have dropped to levels that could offer value for the coming months and years as…

Barchart

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Can Grain and Oilseeds Recover?

The leading grain and oilseed futures have significantly declined from their 2022 highs. During the heart of the 2024 growing season in the Northern Hemisphere, prices remain under pressure. The recent June WASDE report did little to lift prices from their bearish trading patterns.

Barchart

Will the Recovery in Grains Continue?

After reaching highs in 2022, corn, soybean, and wheat prices plunged. The leading grain and oilseed markets feed and increasingly power the world. After reaching bottoms over the past months, prices have turned higher as the weather across the critical buying regions is now the most significant factor for the…

Barchart

Where are Grain Prices Heading in Q2?

The gain sector of the commodities market moved lower in Q1, with the composite of soybeans, corn, wheat, oats, and rough rice leading the commodities asset class on the downside. After reaching multi-year and, in some cases, record highs, in 2022, prices have declined to attractive levels as the grain…

Barchart

Grains: Is There a Compelling Case for Appreciation in 2024?

The grain sector of the commodities market posted a 2.89% gain in Q4, but it declined 13.04% in 2023. As grains move into 2024, the annual crop season is on the horizon and will begin in the spring. Prices are at attractive levels after falling from multi-year or all-time peaks…

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Barchart

Will Wheat Prices Continue to Rally?

Nearby CBOT soft red winter wheat futures rose to a record high of $14.2525 in March 2022. At the most recent November 2023 low, the price was almost one-third the level at the 2022 all-time high. Wheat futures under $6 per bushel was inexpensive as Russia is the world’s leading…

Barchart

Why Wheat Prices are Due for a Rebound

Crude oil and wheat are the two most political commodities. Russia has a significant role in worldwide petroleum prices as the most influential non-member of OPEC, the international oil cartel. Russia is also the world’s leading wheat exporter. Over the past years, the geopolitical landscape has added volatility to the…

Barchart

After the Recent Pullback, Where are Wheat Prices Headed?

CBOT wheat futures reflect the price of soft red winter wheat and are the global benchmark for the grain that feeds the world. Wheat is the primary ingredient in bread and has a long history as a highly political commodity.

Barchart

Was the July WASDE Report a Gift From the USDA?

On Wednesday, July 12, 2023, the U.S. Department of Agriculture released its July World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates Report. The monthly WASDE report is the gold standard for agricultural commodity supply and demand fundamentals. However, the report reflects a snapshot of data, and the weather and other factors will…

Barchart

Grains in Q2 and Beyond- Is the Sector Still Bullish?

The agricultural products that feed and increasingly power the world declined in Q2 2023. After reaching multi-year, and in some cases all-time highs, in 2022, grain and oilseed futures have corrected. As the grain markets head into Q3, they face the weather conditions in the northern hemisphere, which will determine…

Barchart

June WASDE – Not Much Action After the Most Recent USDA Report

The USDA’s monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates Report is the gold standard for agricultural commodities’ fundamentals. The agency released its June report, during the heart of the 2023 Northern Hemisphere growing season, on Friday, June 9, 2023.

Barchart

The KCBT versus CBOT Wheat Spread is Flashing a Bullish Signal

The spread between KCBT hard red winter wheat and CBOT soft red winter wheat is a barometer for the path of least resistance of the primary ingredient in bread. Many U.S. bread manufacturers price their requirements on the KCBT price, making the spread a critical factor that measures the market’s…

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