Yordan Alvarez is as close to a lock as it gets for AL MVP, and Kalshi’s MLB market agrees as he’s the overwhelming favorite at 91%. He entered 2026 at just 3% and quickly stormed to the top.
His 91% price holds an 84-percentage-point edge over Junior Caminero at 7%. Only three others sit at or above 2% in Caminero, Dillon Dingler, and Bobby Witt Jr.