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Andrea Carson, Professor of Political Communication, La Trobe University

Yes, One Nation’s poll numbers are climbing. But major party status – let alone government – is still a long way off

One Nation Pauline Hanson Coalition Labor Barnaby Joyce Australia Immigration National

Recent polling has delivered a spike for the anti-immigration party One Nation, triggering media speculation that Australian politics is on the cusp of a populist realignment.

The latest Newspoll had Labor on 33%, One Nation on 27% and the Coalition on just 18% of primary votes, which constituted both an historic high for One Nation and an all-time low for the Coalition.

Headlines tell us Pauline Hanson’s party is “soaring”, with some analysts asking if she could lead the country or emerge as opposition leader amid a populist uprising.

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