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Politics
Jonathan J. Kasparek, Professor of history, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee

Wisconsin is a key swing state this year – and has a history of being unpredictable

Donald Trump Wisconsin Joe Biden Wis Republican Barack Obama Scott Walker Milwaukee Abortion Economy
President Joe Biden meets with campaign volunteers and their families at a community center in Racine, Wis. Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images

Voters in Wisconsin – now considered a critical swing state ahead of the 2024 presidential election – may be among the most unpredictable in the nation.

Although former President Barack Obama carried the state in the 2008 election and again in 2012, Wisconsin voters stunned pollsters by voting for Donald Trump in 2016, marking the first time since 1984 that the state’s electoral votes went to a Republican. Then, in the 2020 election, the state’s voters chose a Democrat again – Joe Biden.

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