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Wandile Sihlobo, Senior Fellow, Department of Agricultural Economics, Stellenbosch University

Will El Niño drought hit food prices in South Africa? Earlier rains and grain stocks offer hope

The likely impact of the expected El Niño on South Africa’s agriculture and food prices in 2027 is a major point of discussion among analysts and economists in the country.

By mid-2026, weather forecasts were signalling that the world was heading towards a severe El Niño. The El Niño weather phenomenon tends to have varying impacts on the many regions of the world. For southern Africa, it typically presents drought, which is negative for agricultural production.

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