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Politics
Ahmet T. Kuru, Professor of Political Science, San Diego State University

Why Istanbul's mayor was sentenced to jail – and what it means for Turkey's 2023 presidential race

Ekrem Imamoglu -- heading to jail or the presidency. Onur Dogman/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images

A Turkish court’s decision on Dec. 14, 2022, to jail Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu for two years and seven months for insulting public officials hung on comments he made three years ago. But its impact will be felt on an event taking place in a few months time: the Turkish presidential election.

If the appeals court upholds Imamoglu’s conviction – based on a 2019 speech in which he allegedly called Turkey’s supreme election council “fools” – the opposition figure will be barred from holding any political office. It hands President Recep Tayyip Erdogan a double win: Not only does it mean Erdogan would retake control of Istanbul, but it also would potentially prevent his strongest challenger from running in the June 2023 election.

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