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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Environment
Kate Ravilious

When will the world reach 1.5C of global heating?

Climate activists hold up banners at a protest in Turin
Climate activists hold up banners at a protest in Turin last month. Photograph: Mauro Ujetto/NurPhoto/Rex/Shutterstock

Reaching 1.5C of global heating is now pretty much inevitable, and we will reach it somewhere around 2035, no matter what we do. That’s the conclusion from the latest climate projections, which suggest even if we reach net zero emissions within the next 30 years, we will be stuck with at least that level of heating until 2070 or so.

“Staying below 1.5C of global warming is currently not plausible,” says Jochem Marotzke, from the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg, Germany.

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