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The Guardian - AU
The Guardian - AU
National
Josh Nicholas

What the final polls are telling us: majority intends to vote no in voice referendum

Volunteers distribute flyers during early voting for the Indigenous voice to parliament referendum
Volunteers distribute flyers during early voting for the Indigenous voice to parliament referendum. There is no sign in final polls of a trend towards a yes vote. Photograph: Bianca de Marchi/AAP

The downward trend in support for the voice to parliament has slowed, but a majority of people are still intending on voting no, according to the latest update from Guardian Australia’s poll tracker.

Despite the addition of several recent polls to the Guardian’s model, there is no sign of a trend back towards a yes vote for Saturday’s referendum. The yes side has an estimated 41.6% support nationally and is trailing in every state except Tasmania, which has been excluded from our model due to low sample sizes.

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