All the games are complete and it’s time to determine which teams will be the four to make the College Football Playoff. After USC and TCU lost in their respective conference championship games, the prevailing thought from the national media is the teams that will get an invite to play for trophies and confetti will most likely be Georgia, Michigan, TCU and Ohio State.
However, instead of asking media members that can’t seem to figure out that no team is clearly better than the other, or that teams are only as good as the last game they watch, why not check with some of the analytics? We’ve checked in with two models this year — FiveThirtyEight’s and ESPN’s, and it’s time to kick the tires one more time before the field is revealed on ESPN Sunday at noon.
Here is what those two College Football Playoff predictions say about which four teams will be in.
NEXT … Teams with the best chance in the FiveThirtyEight College Football Playoff predictions model
No. 8 - Alabama Crimson Tide
FiveThirtyEight’s percentage chance of making the playoff
16%
No. 7 - Utah Utes (10-3) - Pac-12 Conference Champions
FiveThirtyEight’s percentage chance of making the playoff
20%
No. 6 - Clemson Tigers (11-2) - ACC Conference Champions
FiveThirtyEight’s percentage chance of making the playoff
29%
No. 5- Kansas State Wildcats (10-3) - Big 12 Conference Champions
FiveThirtyEight’s percentage chance of making the playoff
36%
No. 4 - Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1)
FiveThirtyEight’s percentage chance of making the playoff
40%
No. 3 - TCU Horned Frogs (12-1)
FiveThirtyEight’s percentage chance of making the playoff
53%
No. 2 - Michigan Wolverines - Big Ten Conference Champions
FiveThirtyEight’s percentage chance of making the playoff
>99%
No. 1 - Georgia Bulldogs (13-0) - SEC Conference Champions
FiveThirtyEight’s percentage chance of making the playoff
>99%
NEXT … Teams with the best chance in the ESPN College Football Playoff Predictions model
No. 5 - Alabama Crimson Tide
ESPN’s percentage chance of making the playoff
23%
No. 4 - Ohio State Buckeyes
ESPN’s percentage chance of making the playoff
82%
No. 3 - TCU Horned Frogs
ESPN’s percentage chance of making the playoff
87%
No. 2 - Michigan Wolverines (13-0) - Big Ten Conference Champions
ESPN’s percentage chance of making the playoff
>99%
No. 1 - Georgia Bulldogs (13-0) - SEC Conference Champions
ESPN’s percentage chance of making the playoff
>99%
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