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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
National
Rebecca Whittaker

What is a super El Niño and how could it impact the UK’s weather this year?

  • The UK recently experienced one of the warmest starts to April, with temperatures reaching 26.6C in London.
  • Temperatures are forecast to rise again this week, potentially reaching 18C in London and 16C in Manchester by Friday.
  • A developing El Niño weather event is expected to intensify global warmth over the next year, with forecasts suggesting it could be a "super-strength" event.
  • El Niño, characterized by warming sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific, could lead to elevated global mean temperatures in 2027, possibly exceeding 1.5C above pre-industrial levels.
  • While its impact on the UK is less extreme than in other regions, El Niño has been associated with hotter summers and colder winters in Europe and the UK.

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