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The Conversation
Environment
Aaron Levine, Atmospheric Research Scientist, CICOES, University of Washington

What is a strong El Niño? Meteorologists anticipate a big impact in winter 2023, but the forecasts don't all agree

The El Niño pattern stands out in the warm sea surface temperature anomalies in the Pacific in 2023 NOAA Climate.gov

Winter is still weeks away, but meteorologists are already talking about a snowy winter ahead in the southern Rockies and the Sierra Nevada. They anticipate more storms in the U.S. South and Northeast, and warmer, drier conditions across the already dry Pacific Northwest and the upper Midwest.

One phrase comes up repeatedly with these projections: a strong El Niño is coming.

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