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Lev Cosijns, PhD Candidate in the School of Archaeology, University of Oxford

What brought the decline of the eastern Roman Empire – and what can we learn from it?

An anachronistic depiction of the Battle of Nineveh between the eastern Romans and the Persians in 627, painted in 1452 by Pierro della Francesca. Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-NC-ND

Why empires fall is a question that fascinates many. But in the search for an answer, imagination can run wild. Suggestions have emerged in recent decades that attribute the rise and fall of ancient empires such as the Roman Empire to climate change and disease. This has prompted discussions over whether “536 was the worst year to be alive”.

That year, a volcanic eruption created a dust veil that blocked the sun in certain regions of the world. This, combined with a series of volcanic eruptions in the following decade, is claimed to have caused a decrease in the global temperature. Between 541 and 544, there was also the first and most severe documented occurrence of the Justinianic plague in the eastern Roman Empire (also referred to as the Byzantine Empire), in which millions of people died.

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