West Ham's chances of being relegated compared to…

West Ham's chances of being relegated compared to Leicester, Leeds, Everton, Nottingham Forest

West Ham United have a 1% chance of being relegated from the Premier League, according to data experts.

The Hammers are currently 14th in the table with 34 points from their 32 games so so far, but are only five points ahead of the bottom three with six games left to play, although all the teams below them will have played one game more after Thursday night’s Premier League fixtures.

David Moyes’ side boosted their chances of survival with three wins and two draws in six games before they were narrowly beaten 2-1 by Liverpool at the London Stadium on Wednesday night.

Relegation rivals Everton, Southampton and Bournemouth are in action on Thursday, with the latter two facing off at St Mary’s. However, only an Everton win against Newcastle United can cut the Hammers points gap from the relegation zone down from five points to four.

The Toffees are currently 19th on 28 points heading into the fixture at Goodison Park, whereas Leicester City (18th) are only a point ahead after drawing 1-1 on Tuesday with Leeds United, who are 16th in the table on 30 points.

Nottingham Forest’s 3-1 win against Brighton on Wednesday lifted the Tricky Trees out of the relegation zone and level on points with Leeds, but Steve Cooper’s side have the second worst goal difference in the league with -31, while 15th-placed Bournemouth are on -32.

There is bound to be more twists and turns to come in this season’s battle to avoid the drop and FiveThirtyEight’s supercomputer offers a prediction into how the table will look by the end of the campaign.

FiveThirtyEight simulate a team's remaining league matches 20,000 times using weighted probabilities for each result. Every week the table is updated based on a side's form and prior results, with those on winning streaks seeing improved forecasts and those on a poor run subsequently penalised.

According to their predicted table, it is more likely West Ham will remain where they are now and finish 14th on 41 points, with a 1% chance of being relegated. As to who else will avoid the drop, FiveThirtyEight predicts Leicester to climb out of the bottom three and finish 16th, behind Bournemouth (15th) and ahead of Leeds United (17th).

Bottom club Southampton have a 90% chance of going down and are expected to stay at the foot of the table, whereas Everton, who have never been relegated from the Premier League and have been a top-flight club since 1955, are predicted to finish 19th. Nottingham Forest are expected to finish 18th, narrowly missing out on survival by a point.